Friday, November 15, 2019

Commercial Risk in International Business

Commercial Risk in International Business What is International business ? International business is a term used to collectively describe all commercial transactions (private and governmental, sales, investments, logistics, and transportation) that take place between two or more nations. Usually, private companies undertake such transactions for profit; governments undertake them for profit and for political reasons. A multinational enterprise (MNE) is a company that has a worldwide approach to markets and production or one with operations in more than a country. An MNE is often called multinational corporation (MNC) or transnational company (TCN). Well known MNCs include fast food companies such as McDonalds and Yum Brands, vehicle manufacturers such as General Motors, Ford Motor Company and Toyota, consumer electronics companies like Samsung, LG and Sony, and energy companies such as ExxonMobil, Shell and BP. Most of the largest corporations operate in multiple national markets. Areas of study within this topic include differences in legal systems, political systems, economic policy, language, accounting standards, labor standards, living standards, environmental standards, local culture, corporate culture, foreign exchange market, tariffs, import and export regulations, trade agreements, climate, education and many more topics. Each of these factors requires significant changes in how individual business units operate from one country to the next. The conduct of international operations depends on companies objectives and the means with which they carry them out. The operations affect and are affected by the physical and societal factors and the competitive environment. Objectives of International Business: sales expansion, resource acquisition, risk minimization. What are Risk In International Business ? Companies doing business across international borders face many of the same risks as would normally be evident in strictly domestic transactions. For example, * Buyer insolvency (purchaser cannot pay); * Non-acceptance (buyer rejects goods as different from the agreed upon specifications); * Credit risk (allowing the buyer to take possession of goods prior to payment); * Regulatory risk (e.g., a change in rules that prevents the transaction); * Intervention (governmental action to prevent a transaction being completed); * Political risk (change in leadership interfering with transactions or prices); and * War and Acts of God. * The risks that exist in international trade can be divided into two major groups: Economic risks . Risk of insolvency of the buyer, . Risk of protracted default the failure of the buyer to pay the amount due within six months after the due date . Risk of non acceptance . Surrendering economic sovereignty * Political risks . Risk of cancellation or non renewal of export or import licences . War risks . Risk of expropriation or confiscation of the importers company . Risk of the imposition of an import ban after the shipment of the goods . Transfer risk imposition of exchange controls by the importers country or foreign currency shortages . Surrendering political sovereignty  · Exchange rates * Price for which the currency of a country can be exchanged for another countrys currency. Factors that influence exchange rate include (1) interest rates, (2) inflation rate, (3) trade balance, (4) political stability, (5) internal harmony, (6) high degree of transparency in the conduct of leaders and administrators, (7) general state of economy, and (8) quality of governance. Risks in international trade can be divided under several types, such as: Economic risks: * Risk of concession in economic control * Risk of insolvency of the buyer * Risk of non-acceptance * Risk of protracted default i.e. the failure of the buyer to pay off the due amount after six months of the due date * Risk of Exchange rate * Political risks: * Risk of non- renewal of import and exports licenses * Risks due to war * Risk of the imposition of an import ban after the delivery of the goods * Surrendering of political sovereignty Buyer Country risks * Changes in the policies of the government * Exchange control regulations * Lack of foreign currency * Trade embargoes Commercial risk: * A banks lack of ability to honor its responsibilities * A buyers failure pertaining to payment due to financial limitations * A sellers inability to provide the required quantity or quality of goods Others Risks : * Cultural differences e.g., some cultures consider the payment of an incentive to help trading is absolutely lawful * Lack of knowledge of overseas markets * Language barriers * Inclination to corrupt business associates * Legal protection for breach of contract or non-payment is low * Effects of unpredictable business environment and fluctuating exchange rates * Sovereign risk the ability of the government of a country to pay off its debts * Natural risk due to the various kinds natural catastrophes, which cannot be controlled There are many other risks which are the following. (1) Strategic Risk (2) Operational Risk (3) Political Risk (4) Country Risk (5) Technological Risk (6) Environmental Risk (7) Economic Risk (8) Financial Risk (9) Terrorism Risk Strategic Risk: The ability of a firm to make a strategic decision in order to respond to the forces that are a source of risk. These forces also impact the competiveness of a firm. Porter defines them as: threat of new entrants in the industry, threat of substitute goods and services, intensity of competition within the industry, bargaining power of suppliers, and bargaining power of consumers. Operational Risk: This is caused by the assets and financial capital that aid in the day-to-day business operations. The breakdown of machineries, supply and demand of the resources and products, shortfall of the goods and services, lack of perfect logistic and inventory will lead to inefficiency of production. By controlling costs, unnecessary waste will be reduced, and the process improvement may enhance the lead-time, reduce variance and contribute to efficiency in globalization. Political Risk: The political actions and instability may make it difficult for companies to operate efficiently in these countries due to negative publicity and impact created by individuals in the top government. A firm cannot effectively operate to its full capacity in order to maximize profit in such an unstable countrys political turbulence. A new and hostile government may replace the friendly one, and hence expropriate foreign assets. Country Risk: The culture or the instability of a country may create risks that may make it difficult for multinational companies to operate safely, effectively, and efficiently. Some of the country risks come from the governments policies, economic conditions, security factors, and political conditions. Solving one of these problems without all of the problems (aggregate) together will not be enough in mitigating the country risk. Technological Risk: Lack of security in electronic transactions, the cost of developing new technology, and the fact that these new technology may fail, and when all of these are coupled with the outdated existing technology, the result may create a dangerous effect in doing business in the international arena. Environmental Risk: Air, water, and environmental pollution may affect the health of the citizens, and lead to public outcry of the citizens. These problems may also lead to damaging the reputation of the companies that do business in that area. Economic Risk: This comes from the inability of a country to meet its financial obligations. The changing of foreign-investment or/and domestic fiscal or monetary policies. The effect of exchange-rate and interest rate make it difficult to conduct international business. Financial Risk: This area is affected by the currency exchange rate, government flexibility in allowing the firms to repatriate profits or funds outside the country. The devaluation and inflation will also impact the firms ability to operate at an efficient capacity and still be stable. Most countries make it difficult for foreign firms to repatriate funds thus forcing these firms to invest its funds at a less optimal level. Sometimes, firms assets are confiscated and that contributes to financial losses. Terrorism Risk: These are attacks that may stem from lack of hope; confidence; differences in culture and religious philosophy, and/or merely hate of companies by citizens of host countries. It leads to potential hostile attitudes, sabotage of foreign companies and/or kidnapping of the employers and employees. Such frustrating situations make it difficult to operate in these countries. CASES * October 2006 International Risk North Korea Future Implications International Risk has drawn up a report which explores the strategic thinking of the North Korean regime and their logic for conducting nuclear tests. The report outlines the likely future implications for Asia. * September 2005 International Risk Assessment: INDIA BUSINESS RISK OPPORTUNITIES India continues to establish itself as an emerging global force attracting increasing foreign direct investment. In response to the ever changing business climate, companies need to develop strategies to increase competitiveness and improve profitability. When expanding into new and developing markets, there are various elements that help make the endeavour successful as well as risks which can lead to severe disappointment. With India being touted as the new market and global player, it is critical that companies understand and appreciate both the opportunities and challenges faced by foreign investors. In short, provided companies take appropriate action to, India works. It represents a huge opportunity for the investor who has the appetite for detail, is patient and looks to the long term. International Risk, the premier international risk mitigation and investigation company, provides a strategic assessment on the risks and opportunities for foreign investors entering this exciting market. * May 2005 International Risk Macau Strategic Risk Assessment In the five years since its return to Chinese sovereignty, the former Portuguese colony of Macau has witnessed unprecedented economic growth, driven by huge investment inflows into its gaming and tourist industries and an explosion in visitor arrivals, particularly from the mainland. Whilst there are positive indications as to Macau continuing its growth as a regional gaming centre, much like its new role model Las Vegas, there are nevertheless uncertainties and risks arising from its chequered past as much as from its future under Beijings current benevolent oversight. Understanding these factors is crucial if foreign investors are to mitigate this risk. International Risk, the premier international risk mitigation and investigation company has developed a strategic review of the challenges facing Macau, the opportunities it presents investors, and the risks they could encounter. International Risk has considerable experience in discreetly assisting foreign investors who seek to enter this colorful, yet exciting environment. * April 2005 International Risk Report on China-Japan  § Political and strategic frictions between China and Japan have been growing over the past few years because of deep-seated historical distrust and an accelerating rivalry for regional power and influence between the two countries. But these tensions were previously contained and offset by close economic ties and the sharing of many issues of mutual interest, such as concerns over the rise of a nuclear North Korea.  § This calm in China-Japan relations has been damaged by a perfect storm of controversies that has unleashed pent-up passions among Chinese city-dwellers across the country. The history text-book issue over Japans war-time activity in China, Japans bid for a permanent UN Security Council seat and Tokyos decision to allocate drilling rights in disputed territorial waters are all highly charged emotional issues that strike at the very heart of Chinese popular nationalism.  § While these controversies have propelled Chinese onto the streets in their thousands, the Chinese leaderships decision to allow these anti-Japanese protests to take place is driven by deeper structural issues that suggest China-Japan ties are likely to remain volatile in the longer term. Managing the Risks of International Trade This guide provides information that will help you to put procedures in place to minimise the risks involved in international trade. You should read it if you are responsible for planning and delivering the export strategy in your company. You should make sure that the information in this briefing is read by your sales and marketing force, your finance management team, your credit manager and the sales ledger controller. What types of risks will I have to manage? Customer Risk You will need an assessment of the credit worthiness of your customer. This should include checking the following: à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ The identity of your customer. Do they exist as a legally established business in the country of import? Are you dealing with someone who has the authority to bind your customer; à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ The usual period of credit offered in your customers country; à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ The credit limit you are prepared to offer your customer; à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ The trading history of your customer. Are they a prompt payer? Have there been any changes to their normal payment patterns? à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ Are your exports compatible with your customers normal business profile? à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ Can your customer pay the bill? à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ Insolvency. Remember that a customers insolvency can involve you in a pre credit risk, where losses can occur if your customer becomes insolvent during the manufacturing process or at any time before or after the despatch of the export consignment. You can obtain the information needed to carry out these checks either yourself or through a reputable credit agency or credit insurer. Country Risk As well as your customer, their country can pose separate risks that you will need to manage. Country risks traditionally fall into five areas: à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ Sovereign: The willingness or ability of the government to pay its debts. This is affected by the political climate within the country, internal and external threats to the country; international trading performance including balance of payments record; the level of national debt and the amount of foreign exchange reserves. Other political decisions can also frustrate your export sales; these include the imposition of embargoes, tariff or other quotas, and import or export restrictions. à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ Private: The ability of the private sector to pay for its imports. This situation is affected by the 2 SITPRO Management Guide: Managing the Risks of International Trade state of the domestic economy, the commercial institutions in the country, and the competence of banking and financial services sector. à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ Natural: Some regions of the world suffer from regular climactic catastrophes (for example annual flooding, drought, earthquakes and other disasters). When these occur they can severely disrupt the operations of both the business sector and the government. à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ Fashion and Finance: International trading patterns often create a fashionable region or country as an export market. In these circumstances trade finance is often readily available, allowing you to offer good credit terms to your export customers. However, fashions change and countries can quickly go out of favour for both exports and trade finance. à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ Other: These include transfer risks such as the inconvertibility of the local currency; transaction risks such as late or non-payment, and transition risks for emerging markets where the threats are the effectiveness of the liberalisation programme, failure to complete economic structural reforms and any possible destabilising influences. You can obtain information about country risks by visiting the country and/or by speaking to other knowledgeable organisations such as UK Trade Investment, your local chamber of commerce or one of the major banks. Credit Risk Perhaps the first question you should ask is Can I afford to give my customers credit? To decide how much credit you are prepared to advance you must consider: à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ The amount of credit outstanding in your trading accounts, both overseas and domestic; à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ What do you know about your customer and what is the maximum amount of credit you should NOT exceed; à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ Can you carry any financial shortfall? What will be the impact on your business if your customer delays payment or does not pay at all? à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ How will you finance the credit period you offer? This means do you have sufficient money to allow you to offer credit terms in export sales contracts as part of your business cycle. Foreign Exchange Risk When you trade internationally you will most likely be dealing in more than one currency. This means you are exposed to fluctuations in the foreign exchange market. You can learn how to manage this risk by referring SITPROs guide on The Foreign Exchange Market. Other risks If you manufacture goods to order you must include in your export strategy a contingency that will help you manage the risk of a frustrated export this is when your customer refuses the goods. You should have a plan to either resell the product to another market or realise a salvage value for your goods. Managing the Risks of International Trade: You must also have procedures in place for the collection of your invoice amount. Under your contract you may have to collect your money in your customers country. This does have its risks as collection maybe more uncertain or expensive, so you will have to consider the legal system in their country. Your contract may, however, allow you to take legal steps to recover your debt in another country, including your own. How do I manage these risks? You can do the job yourself or employ the services of a comprehensive credit management and insurance provider. If you decide, for sound business reasons, to do the job in house then you must have the resources and knowledge to: à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ gather credit and other trade information about existing, and potential, customers; à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ research the country and associated risks; à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ examine the need for credit insurance, identify the most appropriate policy and investigate competitive products and services; à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ manage the credit insurance policy and maximise any benefits If you decide to go down this route, you will have to consider the financial and other impacts on your business. These include senior management ownership of the credit management strategy; The allocation of sufficient time, resource and money to do the job, and a review of your export catalogue prices. You must remember to include the costs of in house risk management and extending credit terms in your export quotes. Otherwise, a profit can soon turn into a loss as administrative costs eat into your bottom line. What types of risk management and insurance services are available? Classically, these are the approaches adopted by the business sector, based on the pattern of trade of the exporter. Type of business à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ Supplying goods to markets and customers on a regular basis; à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ A large one-off sales contract; à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ The supply of capital or semi-capital goods for major overseas projects; à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ The provision of services such as surveys or feasibility studies; à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ Smaller or new exporters. Products and services Depending on your type of business, the following products and services are available to you: à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ A partnership with a Credit Insurer to identify and assess your business prospects and cover the risks on your exports. The service can be tailored to meet your needs, by covering all Managing the Risks of International Trade. Your sales ledger, or just your accounts with larger customers, or by having a geographic limit, or by product line, or indeed in many other ways; à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ A specific insurance policy structured for a particular deal. Such a policy will take into account any factors unique to the sales contract which is being covered. Specific policies are ideal for contracts whose size or duration fall outside the normal pattern of your trade. Also they are suitable for the sale of capital or semi capital goods on extended credit. Insurance for individual contracts can be obtained from credit insurance companies but the main supplier of this service, particularly for capital goods contracts, is the Export Credits Guarantee Department (ECGD); à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ Smaller or new exporters can use a Managed Credit Insurance scheme as a way of contracting-out the credit control functions (obtaining country information, checking customer details and credit limits, chasing overdue payments and making claims). The cost of these services are often included in the premium for the scheme. Where do I obtain these services? You can approach specialist credit management and insurance providers, or your insurance adviser (broker, agent or intermediary). A list of credit insurance companies can be obtained from Association of British Insurers. Details of specialist advisers can be obtained from organisations such as the British Insurance Brokers Association. With their worldwide networks credit insurance companies have years of experience and expertise in analysing and covering the risks involved in international trade. In addition to covering commercial debts and indemnifying you if your customer fails to pay, they can provide you with guaranteed cover which could improve your cash-flow, provide confidence to maximize your export sales and may enhance your borrowing power. The use of credit insurance imposes on your company a disciplined and professional approach to trade risk management. Adopting this solution can help reduce your bad debts, improve your competitiveness in the global marketplace and increase your profitability. Are there any other options open to me? There are other financial solutions to you credit management risks: à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ do nothing, and carry the risk yourself. The extent of the risk you are prepared to take will determine if this option is appropriate; à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ Factoring or invoice discounting; à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ Forfaiting.; à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ Secured payment terms (for example, Letters of Credit); à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ Insurance-backed financial packages. Managing the Risks of International Trade How much will it cost me? Like all insurance cover (premises, employers liability, business interruption) you will have to pay for your risk management and insurance services. Policies based on a specific risk are available and premium is usually on a one-off basis. Premium is calculated according to the specific risk in question, credit period offered, your customers country and the duration of the risk from the insurers perspective. There are also credit insurance policies and managed schemes that will cover all of your export turnover. Premium is usually annual and assessed against your estimated insurable turnover (the sales on credit covered). With your credit insurer you will have to agree your target export turnover for any one year. Typically, you can expect to pay between 0.35% and 0.65% for this type of policy, dependent on your products, the number of customers and range of your export markets, your export trading experience, and your own credit management system. As with all insurance cover, you should spend time researching the market and getting quotes from a range of credit insurance providers. The costs quoted are based on typical policies available for small or new exporters wishing to cover sales with fairly short delivery and payment profiles. Costs will rise for specific policies where the horizon of risk for the insurer might be 2 or 3 years as in the case of ECGD cover for capital goods projects. Conclusion Credit insurance is an important risk management tool to help you protect the payment of your overseas accounts and unlock the full potential of your export business. You should carefully consider including it in your global trading strategy. What are the major risks for business? 1. Political risk 2. Economic risk 3. Financial risk What is the risk in the following Countries..? INDIA : In India or country risk tier (CRT) is categories in three types of risks. Political, economical financial risks. * Poverty reduction in India is heavily reliant upon high levels of economic growth, which is likely to return in 2010/11. Political Risk: High à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ Income disparity in India is significant, as approximately one third of the population lives in poverty. à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ National security has become a focus in India as some of the major cities have been the scene of terrorist bombings. à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ The bilateral relationship with Pakistan is strained, and receives worldwide attention. Efforts in recent years to make reparations have been interrupted repeatedly by acts of violence. Financial System Risk: Moderate à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ The insurance industry is regulated by the Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority (IRDA). à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ The Indian government is working to align its regulatory and accounting standards with international best practices. à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ The Indian financial system has fared relatively well during the global financial crisis. Economic Risk: Moderate à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ India, with a massive population exceeding one billion, is home to the worlds 12th largest economy as measured by gross domestic product (GDP). à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ Indias information technology sector and business services sector have been drivers of growth as the government has supported development with improvements in infrastructure and regulation. à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ A notable point of weakness for the Indian economy is the worsening government budget balance. The deficit will likely reach -7.0% of GDP in 2008/09. CANADA: Economic Risk: Very Low à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ Canadas economy is developed, with services and manufacturing accounting for the majority of the countrys output. à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ International trade is vital to the economy as exports represent about 40% of GDP with nearly 80% of those exports going to the United States. à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ Economic growth in Canada began to contract in the fourth quarter of 2008 and will continue to contract until 2010. Political Risk: Very Low à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ Canada is a high income country with significant natural resources and an established legal system. à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ Canadas economy is inexorably linked to that of the United States due to the latter countrys geographic proximity, cultural similarities and economic size. à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ Canadas budget has moved into deficit as the government uses fiscalpolicy to help stimulate the economy. Financial System Risk: Very Low à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ Insurance companies in Canada can be licensed at a national and/or provincial level. à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ Federal companies are registered under the Insurance Companies Act of Canada and are regulated by the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions of Canada. USA: Economic Risk: Very Low à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ The United States economy is the largest and most advanced in the world with gross domestic product (GDP) of more than USD 14 trillion. à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ The United States has the dual advantage of being rich in natural resources, both agricultural and mineral, but also capable of producing high-end products such as computers and peripherals, medical equipment, pharmaceutical products and military equipment. à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ The U.S. economy is currently experiencing its worst economic contraction since at least the early 1980s with unemployment expected to reach double digits and GDP reaching negative 3% in 2009. Political Risk: Very Low à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ The United States has a stable democratic political system and a strong legal system. à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ The United States is currently involved in armed combat in Iraq and Afghanistan which has put strain on the relationships between the U.S. and much of the international community. à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ The U.S. is currently using expansionary fiscal policy to stimulate the economy and this has led to a substantial increase in the budget deficit. Financial System Risk: Very Low à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ Insurance regulation in the United States is decentralized and handled on a state by state basis. à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ The financial system in the U.S. is going through a tumultuous period with the government intervention with large corporations such as Bear Stearns, Citigroup and AIG. UK: Economic Risk: Very Low à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ The United Kingdom (UK) has the second largest economy in Europe behind Germany. Service industries represent three quarters of economic production, particularly financial services and real estate activities. London is a global financial center and businesses there account for nearly half of the countrys financial services industry. à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ The UK economy entered into a recession in the second half of 2008 as the country has been hit hard by the financial crisis and a declining housing market. The economy is not expected to recover until mid to late 2010 at the earliest. Political Risk: Very Low à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ The United Kingdom is a member of the European Union. However, the United Kingdom, along with Denmark, obtained special opt-outs from the Maastricht Treaty which allows them to not adopt the euro unless they wish. à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ The UK government has taken steps to counteract the effects of the current financial crisis. These steps include partial nationalization of the banking system and implementing several stimulus packages. Financial System Risk: Very Low à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ The Financial Services Authority (FSA) regulates the UK financial services industries, including insurance. à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ The UK is widely seen as a major center for international insurance and reinsurance and is home to the London Market, a wholesale market that writes risk around the world. Lloyds of London accounts for over half of the business on the London Market. JAPAN: Economic Risk: Low à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ Japan, an industrialized and advanced country, is home to the second largest economy in the world behind that of the United States. à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ Gross domestic product (GDP) growth, which had been weak over the past 20 years, will fall sharply in 2009 as domestic demand and exports contract. The government is responding to the crisis with aggressive expansionary fiscal policies that should result in a return to modest growth in 2010. à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¢ Inflation, however, is expected to remain negative until 2011.

Wednesday, November 13, 2019

Essay --

Hank Aaron was a famous baseball player who was respectful to his teammates and his fans. His nickname was â€Å"Hammerin’ Hank†. At one time he led the league in the most home runs. He was born in a poor family and then grew up to be a great professional baseball player. He became one of the most admired baseball players in Major League history. He was born in Mobile, Alabama called â€Å"Down the Bay† on February 5, 1934. His real name was Henry Louis Aaron. He was the third of eight children. His mother’s name was Estella and his father’s name was Herbert. His dad was a tavern owner and a dry dock boilermaker’s assistant. His mother did not have a job until Hank was older. He lived in a town where there was segregation. Hank lived where it was rural and it was a lowly populated town. The town was fueled by a migration of farm workers looking for city work. Hank took an early interest in sports. Although the family had little money, and Hank took several jobs to try to help out, he spent a lot of time playing baseball at a neighborhood park. He had jobs such as mowing lawns, picking potatoes, and delivering ice. He started to love the game when his father’s local team formed out of the tavern he opened next to the family house called The Black Cat Inn. He played baseball with the loc al kids in the wide open fields. Until too many children to take care of at home, his mother worked in one of Mobile’s white households, where work was available for blacks as maids and cooks. Hank and his family moved to Toulminville, right outside of Mobile, at the age of eight. During his freshman and sophomore years, he attended Central High School, a segregated high school in Mobile where he stood out at both football and baseball. Fearin... ...rst all time in total accumulated bases with 6,856. He was second all time in at bats with 12,364. He was third all time in hits with 3,771. He was third all time in runs scored with 2,174. He was also third all time in games played with 3,298. He was elected into the Hall Of Fame in 1982. His autobiography, I had a Hammer, was published in 1990. In 1999, to celebrate the 25th anniversary of breaking Babe Ruth’s record, Major League announced the Hank Aaron Award, given to the best overall hitter in each league. I picked Hank Aaron because I want to be a baseball player just like him. I think he should be the President of baseball because, all of his special achievements. He was a very nice and skillful person and he will be remembered through all of baseball and will be remembered as one of the greatest baseball players ever in the history of baseball.

Sunday, November 10, 2019

Overview Of Information Systems Essay

Information Systems Types Description / Benefits Example of Each (Including Vendor Name / Vendor Website) How have you seen them used in your organization or an organization that you are familiar with? 1. Databases A database is a computer mechanism for storing and retrieving data. It gives one true command of their data, enabling one to retrieve it, sort it, analyze it, summarize it, and report results in changes. Example: Google Cloud Website: cloud.google.com/ I have seen them used by businesses, and individual users who want to utilize their data across different IT systems. 2. Networks A network is a group of two or more computer systems linked together. The benefits of networking include more convenient file sharing and Internet connection sharing. Example: Examples include local-area networks (LANs) and wide-area networks (WANs). University of Phoenix www.phoenix.edu/ I am currently using a wide area network to download and post my assignments to the university of phoenix website. 3. eBusiness Electronic Business, is the administration of conducting business via the Internet. This would include the buying and selling of goods and services, along with providing technical or customer support through the Internet. The benefit is ebusiness allows people to carry out businesses without the barriers of time or distance. Example: Amazon www.amazon.com I have owned my own business and ecommerce was a great way to provide  services without actually physically being there. 4. Wireless Wireless is communications sent without wires or cables. the benefits to wireless are productivity, convenience, and cost advantages over wired networks. Example: wireless phones www.att.com The use of wireless technology in business and everday life is prevelant in today’s society as a whole. I have a wireless phone use, use Bluetooth and wireless internet on my laptop, as well as being able to transmit ans share internet, in my home and business. 5. Social Media Social Media is the websites and applications that enable users to create and share content or to participate in social networking. One main benefit is the ability to seek out potential clients and networking opportunities. Example: LinkedIn www.linkedin.com I am am member of the site and it is a great tool in networking and finding clients and potential employees. 6. Customer Relationship Management (CRM) Customer relationship management is the strategy that a company uses to handle customer interactions. It is beneficial by creating various platforms to meet customers needs and receive feedback. Example: rewards card program Best Buy www.bestbuy.com/site/†¦rewards/pcmcat102500050032.c?id Best Buy uses their rewards cards to track purchases ans other consumer information that helps in the promotion of certain products and services that they offer. 7. Supply Chain Management (SCM) Supply chain management is the the oversight of materials, information, and finances as they move in a process from start to finish. This is very beneficial as it shows a log off all happenings with a specific good or service. Example: The U.S. Department of Agriculture www.usda.gov/ The U.S. Department of Agriculture developed a Web-based solution for farmers and ranchers seeking to communicate with distributors and wholesalers. 8. Business Intelligence Business intelligence is a term that refers to a variety of software applications used to analyze an organization’s raw data. It is beneficial by helping companies be more efficient, spot areas for cost savings and identify new business opportunities. Example: the board is an all encompassing BI tool that has helped many companies. http://www.board.com/us/ I have seen a list of and have gotten goods and services from some of the companies that have employed the board’s BI tools.

Friday, November 8, 2019

buy custom Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome essay

buy custom Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome essay Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS) is a disease that attacks the human immune system and renders it ineffective. It makes people more vulnerable to contracting various infections of the body like; diseases, opportunistic infections, tumors, and many other infections that do not easily affect people with a normally working immune system. Briefly, AIDS is a multiple-edge killer disease that kills at every opportunity it gets. Since its discovery in the 1980s, specialists have tried to end the misery of AIDS patients by trying to find a cure for the disease, but this has been unsuccessful. Instead, they have managed to come up with drugs that control the disease by preventing chances opportunistic infections. However, these drugs are either very expensive or completely inaccessible to a larger portion of the infected population. That is why researchers have speculated that come 2030, AIDS will be the third largest killer disease in the globe. Nonetheless, with this dreaded disease everyone is trying to be careful. People are looking at what may put them into the risk of contracting this infection and finding the best way to protect themselves rather than ending up in the hopeless point of lifelong treatment of the disease, which is also very expensive. With regards to that, it is important to note that AIDS is transmitted through many ways such as; vaginal, oral, or anal sex; blood transfusion, hypodermic needles; and exchange from the mother to child during pregnancy, birth, and breastfeeding. Although AIDS does not discriminate based on age group, culture, gender, and race, young people, especially between twenty and thirty years of age, and say in America would be at risk of contracting the infection because of certain circumstances that are mostly related to this group. These are; unprotected vaginal or anal sex with an infected person, sharing piercing equipment like needles, oral sex, blood transfusion, and any form of contact with the mucous membrane or bloodstream with a bodily fluid that has the virus. In conclusion, having learnt the risks of contracting the infection and knowing that I am not exempted from it, I know that I am also at risk. In effect, there are protective measures that an individual would take to avoid the risk of being infected with AIDS. First, and a sure way of avoiding the infection through sexual intercourse is abstinence from sexual activity. However, if someone has to engage in an activity of sexual nature then it is important that they use protective measures like condoms to prevent any exchange of infected bodily fluids. Alternatively, sexual partners must do a test to determine their HIV status before engaging in any sexual encounter. Nonetheless, while using piercing equipment, it is important for an individual to ensure that the tools are not shared with anyone, or that they are thoroughly sanitized. Apart from that, during blood transfusion, the recipient patient should make sure that the blood is thoroughly screened for HIV and other infections befo re it is injected into their bloodstream. These are some of the few preventive measures against HIV. Buy custom Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome essay

Wednesday, November 6, 2019

Concept of the Theory of Behaviorism in Psychology

Concept of the Theory of Behaviorism in Psychology The theory of behaviorism tries to explain how human behaviors are molded and the effects that the inborn and social environments have on once behavior; behavior can be defined as a systematic and observable manner of doing things without much of internal mental state consideration, a person’s behavior becomes his habit (Staddon Cerutti, 2003). According to the theory; there are two main conditioning of human life depending with the situation the person is under, they are:Advertising We will write a custom essay sample on Concept of the Theory of Behaviorism in Psychology specifically for you for only $16.05 $11/page Learn More Classical conditioning Under this condition it involves molding of human behavior through naturally occurring stimulus that Is pared to a certain response: with time the neutral stimulus is able to command some response. For example a person who has lived in a place that has war, may have experienced some attacks made by war planes; after the war is over, by hearing the sound of a passing plane, the persons mind has been conditioned to attach the sound with some attacks, he then becomes frightened. Operant conditioning Operant conditioning is a term used to refer to behavior modification that is attained trough a response-reward system. The major assumption (which happens to be true) is that human beings behavior can be conditioned through a reward system. The reward may be positive, which reinforces a positive behavior, may be negative which discourages a certain negative behavior. The underlying philosophy of the theory is that animals, human beings included, respond to stimuli. Thus if they can associate a specific stimulate with a certain behavior, and then they are likely to avoid or repeat the behavior in future. Rationale of why the topic was selected In social and political theory the trends and systems of human behavior is an important element that cannot be ignored, the way human being beha ve and what motivates them behave the way they do are important areas of intervention for social scientists. The topic of behaviorism becomes important as the policy makers seek to learn societal dynamics as well as how people behave and how the behavior can be molded for the benefit of the parties involved. In social movements, people’s behavior can be conditioned to give a certain impression or express their views in a particular manner; other than on public level, the topic is important to understand the behavior of others as well as behavior changes (Olson Hergenhahn, 2009). Why this topic is important in the study of psychology of criminal behavior Some psychologists have argued that criminology is a behavior learnt, reinforced and developed like any other behavior; with the study of behaviorism, policy makers and criminologists are able to understand why there exists a certain trend in the community, it is an important topic to understand crime and how it is developed as a behavior in people’s life.Advertising Looking for essay on psychology? Let's see if we can help you! Get your first paper with 15% OFF Learn More The idea of behaviorism is the approach taken by crime fighters and punishers of offenders; it assists them know the right intervention and the best punishments that can be given to offenders to deter them from committing crime. The thought of the suffering that is likely to come give result to a certain behavior that is mostly keeping away from crime. Using the theory of behaviorism, psychologists are able to learn different method through which they can understand the world and different segments of society; they can have answers why crime is more predominant to a certain area, thus they are able to offer sound recommendations on the best crime prevention methods to the authority’s concerned (Feud Strachey, 1976). References Feud, S., Strachey, J. (1976).The complete psychological work of Sigm und freud. New York: W.W. Norton Company. Olson, M. , Hergenhahn, B.R. (2009). An Introduction to Theories of Learning, Eighth Edition. New Jersey: Prentice Hall. Staddon, J., Cerutti, D. (2003). OPERANT CONDITIONING. Annual Review of Psychology, 54(1), 115. Retrieved from Business Source Complete

Monday, November 4, 2019

The impact of scraping of the retirement age on the management of HR Essay - 1

The impact of scraping of the retirement age on the management of HR in Organisations - Essay Example (Age UK, 2010). The decision on this ground shows growing need of service from the Britons to carry on working, only if they are fit and healthy and continue their work. This move of the government was welcomed by personnel groups but the business leaders notified in a form of warning that this measure might leave the employers blank with regards to their planning for future. This is because they would not know about the exact timing of retirement of their employees so that they can prepare the succession plan (Beckford & Peacock, 2010). The following literature review has been prepared to provide empirical evidence of the impact of such policy of the government to scrap the age of retirement. The evidence of this literature review has been collected from different articles and journals basically through secondary sources. According to Cadler (2010), scrapping or removal of the DRA will be one among the biggest alterations to employment law when it would come into being in the year of 2011. The author says that this reform will leave a number of unresolved problems for the employers. This is because the rules regarding this policy will be very unclear to all the employees along with the employers. At the same time, it will be unclear to all the stakeholders of the organisation (Cadler, 2010). Skirbekk (2004) stated that recognizing the profiles of age-productivity, is a significant factor of the economic world at present. The government recognised this factor and thus the issue gained importance. Government focuses on the demographic and economic factors of the country that are changing. Life expectancy is an important demographic indicator of the affect on economic growth of a country. This indicator influences the age structure of an economy. The government took the decision to scrap the retirement age because it is believed that individual productivity rises to its peak level at later stages of working life.

Friday, November 1, 2019

Business Ethics Learning Logs (1,2,3,4) Essay Example | Topics and Well Written Essays - 3000 words

Business Ethics Learning Logs (1,2,3,4) - Essay Example I came to the realization that ethics was important because I was aware that the recent financial crisis that rocked the world that made lives difficult for everybody was rooted in greed and lack of ethical practice in business. This explains why I was appreciative when I took the subject because I will have the opportunity to learn in details what really constitutes an ethical behaviour and to be able to discern the ethical behaviour from the unethical or undesirable one. I believed that this was important to learn especially when we are still in the academe and still in the process of equipping ourselves the necessary skills and knowledge so that it will be ingrained within us to become better professionals in the future. The lessons that we will learn would guide us when we make our choices in any ethical dilemma that we would confront, be it in business or in our daily activities. II. Second Entry – Evaluate The Theories Given the recent scandals that rocked the business a nd financial world, it now becomes an imperative that each individual entering into the corporate and financial industry must have a sound ethical foundation to avoid similar occurrences in the future. It should begin right in the academe where future professionals, employees or entrepreneurs are being trained and prepared. It is now important because the neglect and disregard for ethical practice in business has contributed to the recent financial and mortgage breakdown that stemmed from greed and lack of ethical practice that made life difficult for everybody. The high incidence of unethical practices in modern business has prompted a stream of organizational research about morality in business (Crane 1999). In fact, industry experts such as Ernst & Young has pointed out that unethical business practice is the main culprit that precipitated the recent economic crisis which caused a lot of jobs and homes to be lost that made life difficult for everybody which is why it is now an im perative not only to integrate but also to stress ethics beginning in the academe when future business professionals are being trained and prepared (Business Roudtable-Institute for Corporate Ethics 2009). The obvious disregard about business propriety is not surprising as Crane and Matten hypothesized that business in itself has been argued to be amoral that to put ethics in business is an oxymoron because they contradict each other (2010). Business in pursuit of its profit motive will invariably set aside ethics as it endeavour to make profit. Actions which may be considered unethical such as lying and deception may even become permissible in the business’ pursuit for profit (Carr 1998 qtd in Crane and Matten 2010). This is consistent with the consequential normative ethic theory that â€Å"holds that the moral rightness of acts, which holds that whether an act is morally right, depends only on the consequences of that act or of something related to that act, such as the m otive behind the act or a general rule requiring acts of the same kind† (Stanford Encyclopaedia of Philosophy a 2011). In plain language, a business person may be prompted to choose a certain course of action or inaction based on the benefit or the avoidance of harm that may be derived from such action or inaction. In the case of business, it can chose to shun any propriety in conducting business with the idea that it is more expedient to make profit by disregarding